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Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD appreciates to near $28.50 after US Jobless Claims

  • Silver price edged higher after the weak labor data initiated the dovish sentiment surrounding the Fed.
  • US Initial Jobless Claims surged to over 8-month highs to 231K, surpassing estimates of 210K.
  • Silver cheers safe-haven demand amid a stalemate in ceasefire negotiations in the Middle East.

Silver price extends its gains for the third consecutive session, trading around $28.50 per troy ounce during the Asian session on Friday. The increase in the value of the grey metal can be attributed to the latest employment data from the United States (US), which supports a more accommodative monetary stance by the Federal Reserve (Fed).

Unexpectedly, US Initial Jobless Claims surged to over 8-month highs, signaling a weakening labor market and potentially providing the Fed with room to commence its easing cycle sooner rather than later. Lower interest rates typically enhance the attractiveness of non-yielding assets such as Silver.

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released data indicating that the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits exceeded expectations. Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending May 3 rose to 231K, surpassing estimates of 210K and showing an increase from the previous week's reading of 209K. Furthermore, traders will closely monitor next week's CPI and PPI releases for further insights into the Fed's monetary stance, given reservations expressed by some Fed officials about easing.

On the geopolitical front, Silver experienced heightened safe-haven demand amidst a deadlock in ceasefire negotiations in the Middle East. Israeli forces mobilized tanks and engaged in gunfire near populated areas of Rafah on Thursday. This escalation followed President Joe Biden's statement that the US would withhold weapons from Israel if a substantial invasion of the southern Gaza city were initiated, as per Reuters report.

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price 28.47
Today Daily Change 0.14
Today Daily Change % 0.49
Today daily open 28.33
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 27.5
Daily SMA50 26.17
Daily SMA100 24.59
Daily SMA200 23.89
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 28.34
Previous Daily Low 27.29
Previous Weekly High 27.44
Previous Weekly Low 26.02
Previous Monthly High 29.8
Previous Monthly Low 24.75
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 27.94
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 27.69
Daily Pivot Point S1 27.63
Daily Pivot Point S2 26.93
Daily Pivot Point S3 26.58
Daily Pivot Point R1 28.69
Daily Pivot Point R2 29.04
Daily Pivot Point R3 29.74

 

 

United Kingdom Total Trade Balance increased to £-1.098B in March from previous £-2.291B

United Kingdom Total Trade Balance increased to £-1.098B in March from previous £-2.291B
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UK Preliminary GDP expands 0.6% QoQ in Q1 vs. 0.4% expected

The UK economy expanded 0.6% QoQ in the first quarter (Q1) of 2024 from a 0.3% contraction in the previous reading, the preliminary estimate released by National Statistics (ONS) showed Friday.
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