Confirming you are not from the U.S. or the Philippines

Ao fornecer esta declaração, declaro e confirmo explicitamente que:
  • Não sou um cidadão nem residente nos EUA
  • Não sou residente nas Filipinas
  • Não possuo, direta ou indiretamente, mais de 10% de ações/direitos de voto/juros dos residentes dos EUA e/ou não controlo cidadãos ou residentes dos EUA por quaisquer outros meios
  • Não tenha propriedade, direta ou indireta, de mais de 10% de ações/direitos de voto/juros e/ou controlo cidadãos ou residentes dos EUA exercidos por outros meios
  • Não sou afiliado de cidadãos ou residentes dos EUA nos termos da Secção 1504(a) da FATCA
  • Tenho consciência da minha responsabilidade por prestar declarações falsas.
Para efeitos da presente declaração, todos os países e territórios dependentes dos EUA são equiparados de igual modo ao território principal dos EUA. Comprometo-me a defender e a considerar isenta a Octa Markets Incorporated, os seus diretores e oficiais relativamente a quaisquer reivindicações que surjam ou estejam relacionadas com qualquer violação da minha declaração no presente documento.
Dedicamo-nos à sua privacidade e à segurança das suas informações pessoais. Coletamos e-mails apenas para fornecer ofertas especiais e informações importantes sobre nossos produtos e serviços. Ao enviar seu endereço de e-mail, você concorda em receber nossas cartas. Se desejar cancelar a assinatura ou tiver alguma dúvida ou preocupação, entre em contato com o nosso Suporte ao Cliente.
Octa trading broker
Abrir conta de negociação
Back

AUD/NZD drops on retails sales miss, eyes on daily swing lows of 1.0430

  • AUD/NZD has dumped on the back of the Aussie data dump where retails sales was a big miss. 
  •  AUD/NZD was down -0.2% overnight at 1.0495, thanks to the poor Australian building approvals data ahead of today's data dump and RBA, but now trades at 1.0465 at the time of writing, with a fresh low of 1.0462, so far.

Ahead of the RBA, the Dec trade surplus was expected to bump up to +$A2.8b (mkt +$A2.225b) due to exports +1.6%/m as LNG flows and -1%/m decline in imports (prior record imports from China reversed).

Retail sales for Dec and Dec qtr was expected to be flat/m and +0.7%/q respectively (mkt flat and +0.5%/q). For the month, was expected at 0.1%.

However, the data arrived as follows:

  • Australia Retail sales for December: -0.4% m/m (vs. expected 0.1%) vs prior 0.4%.
  • The surplus for Dec was a positive with the Australia trade balance for December AUD + 3681m (vs. expected AUD +2225m).

RBA outlook:

Looking ahead, we have the RBA decision later today as the main event. However, its the Lunar New Year holidays in Asia so trade will be thin. 

Analysts at TD Securities explained that it is the first communication from the Bank since early December:

"After extending the record pause in the 1.5% cash rate, the markets eagerly await the RBA’s take on recent market turmoil and Fed pause as well as changes to the forecasts. The most obvious alteration will be a downgrade in the near-term growth outlook."

The analysts also argued that one should not expect the policy statement to repeat that the next move is up for the cash rate, that will be in Friday’s Statement on Monetary Policy. 

"Our China-based factor model puts AUDNZD around 1.06, which could start to benefit if growth and trade tensions start to improve. Finally, our implied-CTA model also implies that the market is leaning short AUD/NZD,"

analysts at TD Securities explained. 

AUD/NZD levels 

Technically, the pair was consolidating following the correction of the daily downtrend's recovery attempt, moving sideways with a hint of bearishness. Indicators, however, are mixed, with flat turning bearish RSI and relatively bearish MACD, with the price smothered by 4hr and daily MAs as the price struggles to gain upside traction. First downside target is 1.0430 as the daily swing lows. The 112.7% Fibo extension is located at 1.03363 beyond S3 located down at 1.0381.

AUD/USD drops below 0.72 on dismal Aussie retail sales and international trade data

The AUD/USD pair is feeling the pull of gravity, courtesy of the dismal Aussie data. The seasonally adjusted retail sales fell 0.4 percent in Decembe
Leia mais Previous

AUD/JPY Technical Analysis: Soft Australian retail sales highlights the importance of “Rising Wedge” formation

The AUD/JPY pair slipped under 79.10 after Australian retail sales contracted for the first time in a year. With the December month Australian Retail
Leia mais Next