USD/CAD Price Analysis: Risks skewed to the downside after Wednesday's doji candle
- USD/CAD risks falling back to Wednesday's low of 1.3327.
- Wednesday's doji candle is indicative of bull fatigue.
USD/CAD is mildly bid in Asia and looking to cross above the psychological hurdle of 1.34. A breakout, however, could be short-lived, as Wednesday's doji candle is indicating bull fatigue.
USD/CAD produced a doji candle on Wednesday, which occurs when both bulls and the bears struggle to lead the price action, resulting in a two-way business and a flat close. It is widely considered a sign of indecision in the market place.
However, in USD/CAD's case, the candle mainly represents buyer exhaustion. After all, the bulls failed to produce a strong green candle by capitalizing on Bank of Canada's 50 basis point rate cut.
Alongside that, the 14-day relative strength index has diverged in favor of the bears.
Additionally, a bearish reversal doji pattern, as represented by last Friday's doji and Monday's big drop, is still valid.
So, the odds appear stacked in favor of a downward move. The pair could challenge Wednesday's low of 1.3327. Acceptance under that level would expose the daily chart ascending trendline support, currently at 1.3275.
On the higher side, a convincing close above Wednesday'shigh of 1.3431 is needed to put the bulls in a commanding position.
Daily chart
Trend: Bearish
Technical levels